CaffeineBoost (4) - Thunder~BALLZ, realiti, M24, Aura Guardian
OM (4) - Schiavetto, Psypsypsypsypsythe, CaffeineBoost, Lady Salamence
So here's the breakdown of the dynamics here.
TBZ and realiti are very early votes on Caff. Not really based on that much. TBZ re-enters the thread stating he might leave the wagon but he still thinks Caff is maf. That's a weird dynamic to have there and to me generates a fair amount of scumbud potential, as though TBZ tried to do an early bus for vca and then realised the standing of things rn. realiti is just not here which is annoying.
M24 I think had a good showing today. Genuinely townlean them a little, and I think a town!M24 Caff scumlean is rational based on what happened in the thread while they were here. Recency bias being involved a little in the read is sometimes natural for town. Also not here at deadline, also quite annoying.
AG is a townlean at this point also, and I think there was believable progression wrt Caff. Like not that detailed, but believable.
At worst I think if Caff is wrong, the probability is that 3 town are wrong.
OTOH OM's case really is just hardcore meta which not only tempers the amount of information provided from flip, but gives the players on the vote a pretty easy get out of jail free card. Schia I do think is most likely town, but the case on OM doesn't actually provide much insight into their perspective and so their being town is a little more irrelevant. I think the other votes are largely bandwagons and it is extremely follow the leader. If any of these 3 are maf, which I think in this lineup there is a decent shot at it, voting OM because Schia got it wrong in order to put the blame on Schia later is like exactly what I would do if I were maf too.
Caff's wagon is jank as fuck but it's still a little more organic and most probably town-led, I think.