Psypsypsypsypsythe here is the full explanation for why my n2 would be ridiculous as maf
The 4 roles that could affect my action that night are: Tracker, Watcher, Doctor, and Bus Driver.
Pulsar had claimed tracker at this point. The other 3 roles I wouldn't know if they existed in the game.
I would have had no idea that a Watcher existed in the game at this point, as opposed to tracker which I knew existed (I say "knew" since being maf I would've known pulsar was town and assumed she was telling the truth).
So here are the outcomes of that night for me assuming I'm mafia friendly neighbour, most to least likely from my mafia point of view:
- Nothing happens - the nightkill goes off, I visit NightEmerald but nobody sees me so nothing changes
- I get tracked - It looks like I did the night kill. I could get out of this by just claiming Friendly Neighbour, but it still looks suspicious for no reason. Best case in this sub-scenario is nothing really changes, worst case is I get voted out for it.
- NightEmerald is doc'd or bus driven - Someone gets told that I'm mafia. If it's doc, NightEmerald is told. If it's bus driver, it's a small chance to be a mafia partner but bigger chance to be a townie.
- NightEmerald is watched - The situation that happened - I look clear, and my mafia partner is outed.
So why would I bank on that final, least likely outcome? The best case scenario for making this play involves my mafia partner being outed? Remember also that I claimed friendly neighbour on NightEmerald before Pulsar claimed her watch, so at that point I still would've had no idea that there was a watcher in the game or that I was caught on the watch.
At that point in the game, I was pretty much universally townread. I could've pretended to be any other role and it would be believable, for example if I wanted to explain why I hadn't used my action I could pretend to be a Doctor and saving my doc for when I was confident in it.
And of course, all this comes after the huge assumption that I picked mafia friendly neighbour, which is a role that only has the potential to harm me as mafia.