##Vote Schiavetto
There'll be a case to go with that vote.
There'll be a case to go with that vote.
-
Welcome to Smogon! Take a moment to read the Introduction to Smogon for a run-down on everything Smogon, and make sure you take some time to read the global rules.
-
Congrats to the winners of the 2023 Smog Awards!
NOC Pokemon Mystery Dungeon NOCfia DX
- Thread starter SB.
- Start date
From what I recall, his D3 is he stopped fighting with you and busted out a plan to coordinate night actions.
Even Night Vig, claimed nilla to make it through the night. I use my action with Psychic. I reiterate that the TBZ lynch was a stupid move.
Here's the current situation from how I see it.
6 people rn - 1 myslynch before LYLO - 1 confirmed town + caffeine alive
myslynch
Caffeine's death
4 people the next day due to night kill - LYLO with 2 confirmed town + Haruno
GG?
If caffeine doesn't die, then mega pokebattlerz dies since it makes no sense for scum to not kill one of these two.
4 people with caffeine + Haruno + confirmed town alive.
We no lynch here so I can get an extra confirmed town for the following day cycle.
Caffeine/confirmed town dies at night
3 people with Haruno + confirmed town + scum alive.
Ez win
gg?
Or am I missing something
6 people rn - 1 myslynch before LYLO - 1 confirmed town + caffeine alive
myslynch
Caffeine's death
4 people the next day due to night kill - LYLO with 2 confirmed town + Haruno
GG?
If caffeine doesn't die, then mega pokebattlerz dies since it makes no sense for scum to not kill one of these two.
4 people with caffeine + Haruno + confirmed town alive.
We no lynch here so I can get an extra confirmed town for the following day cycle.
Caffeine/confirmed town dies at night
3 people with Haruno + confirmed town + scum alive.
Ez win
gg?
Or am I missing something
##Unvote
Where's your head at then? Do you agree with any of Haruno's POE?
Where's your head at then? Do you agree with any of Haruno's POE?
Where's my head at right now? Wondering why Caff's not dead. re: Haruno's POE, I'm chewing it over.
Look at the post above yours. More likely Schia dead than Mega after that.
Actually there is a problem with second plan.
Caffeine can easily just claim the kingmaker killed me and thus result in a game loss. So this is a risky prospect.
Assuming Caffeine is scum and he kills me off night 5, when we're at 3 people heading into day 6. It'll be a confirmed town + caffeine + kingmaker.
Caffeine can easily just claim the kingmaker killed me and thus result in a game loss. So this is a risky prospect.
I'll be around on and off for a bit, but expect more solid activity either late tonight or early tomorrow. I need someone to refresh my memory w/rt why 3rd scum is ninja, and why we're still confident in Town Tracker/Watcher
Caff watched Nuxl and didn't see anybody.
They can only be a 1S ninja though since if they were always ninja then our roles are useless, while if they're limited shot but more than 1 shot ninja then they ninja kill either myself or Haruno
We're not lynching day 5, since you either go into lylo with 4 people or go into lylo with 3 people.
Statistics say we're we're more likely to win a 1/3 than a 1/4.
Ah, NL.
If we can't find scum today, go ahead and take me out. I don't want to be Kingmaker again and I still have the sneaking suspicion that the reason I'm still here after getting 2 out of 3 right is that someone's bankng on putting me there.
If we can't find scum today, go ahead and take me out. I don't want to be Kingmaker again and I still have the sneaking suspicion that the reason I'm still here after getting 2 out of 3 right is that someone's bankng on putting me there.
CaffeineBoost Was your resut "Nobody"or "No result"?
Nobody visited Haruno.
Still have some reservations around our readiness to just accept role claims but for the moment I think we're in a pretty decent spot. See yáll in a bit
Role claims are the most info we've had for a couple days. Afaicr, the only case made towards the identity of the last scum is yours on Caff.
Wait, if Schia is even night vig, we win.
Lynch PS/Lrr, shoot the other.
Lynch PS/Lrr, shoot the other.
Somebody double check my working out again.
Time to replay out situations I suppose.
6 people.
Haruno - watcher
Caffeine - tracker
Mega - confirmed town
Schi/Panic/lrr - VT claims.
We have 2 myslynches before we lose.
Assuming both myself + Caffeine are town then this is relatively cut and dry assuming caffeine has any towncred to everyone else.
SHOUTOUTS TO DOPOG if we lose for fucking roleblocking me on the night I watched caffeine LOL. Since this is his fault if we lose at this point.
Scenario A = myslynch today
Scenario B = no lynch today
Scenario A version 1
Myslynch one of VT claims day 4.
5 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 2 non scum)
Caffeine dies + I get extra confirm
4 people day5 (2 conf VT, myself, 1 scum)
gg boys
Scenario A version 2.1
Myslynch one of VT claims day 4
5 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 2 nonscum)
Confirmed VT dies + I get extra confirmed
4 people day 5 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 1 nonscum) - LYLO
Myslynch we lose
Scenario A version 2.2
Myslynch one of VT claims day 4
5 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 2 nonscum)
Confirmed VT dies + I get extra confirmed
4 people day 5 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 1 nonscum) - LYLO
No lynch
I die night5
3 people day 6 (1 conf VT, scum, 1 nonscum) - LYLO
glhf whoever is kingmaker and deciding if caffeine is innocent or not
Scenario B version 1
No lynch day 5
6 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 3 non scum)
Caffeine dies + I get extra confirm
5 people day5 (2 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 1 non scum)
game solved at this point? We just lynch the scum + non scum day 5/6.
Scenario B version 2
No lynch day 5
6 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 3 non scum)
Confirmed town dies + I get extra confirm
5 people day5 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 2 non scum) - 2 myslynches to lose
lynch a non confirmed slot
4 people night 5 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 1 non scum)
I die here
3 people day 6 (1 conf VT, 1 scum, 1 non scum) - LYLO
Kingmaker with VT
6 people.
Haruno - watcher
Caffeine - tracker
Mega - confirmed town
Schi/Panic/lrr - VT claims.
We have 2 myslynches before we lose.
Assuming both myself + Caffeine are town then this is relatively cut and dry assuming caffeine has any towncred to everyone else.
SHOUTOUTS TO DOPOG if we lose for fucking roleblocking me on the night I watched caffeine LOL. Since this is his fault if we lose at this point.
Scenario A = myslynch today
Scenario B = no lynch today
Scenario A version 1
Myslynch one of VT claims day 4.
5 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 2 non scum)
Caffeine dies + I get extra confirm
4 people day5 (2 conf VT, myself, 1 scum)
gg boys
Scenario A version 2.1
Myslynch one of VT claims day 4
5 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 2 nonscum)
Confirmed VT dies + I get extra confirmed
4 people day 5 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 1 nonscum) - LYLO
Myslynch we lose
Scenario A version 2.2
Myslynch one of VT claims day 4
5 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 2 nonscum)
Confirmed VT dies + I get extra confirmed
4 people day 5 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 1 nonscum) - LYLO
No lynch
I die night5
3 people day 6 (1 conf VT, scum, 1 nonscum) - LYLO
glhf whoever is kingmaker and deciding if caffeine is innocent or not
Scenario B version 1
No lynch day 5
6 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 3 non scum)
Caffeine dies + I get extra confirm
5 people day5 (2 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 1 non scum)
game solved at this point? We just lynch the scum + non scum day 5/6.
Scenario B version 2
No lynch day 5
6 people night4 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 3 non scum)
Confirmed town dies + I get extra confirm
5 people day5 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 2 non scum) - 2 myslynches to lose
lynch a non confirmed slot
4 people night 5 (1 conf VT, myself, 1 scum, 1 non scum)
I die here
3 people day 6 (1 conf VT, 1 scum, 1 non scum) - LYLO
Kingmaker with VT
The worst case scenario is scum's a PR. Shooting into the VTs that night means the only way we don't end up at F3 the next day is if Schia's the NK and the action resolution yeets her vig off the table.
When was it stated that schia is a vig.
Hey, we can also spread blame to myself and literally anybody else who isn't Schia or you for not hustling to make a case on who third scum could be.
here